Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001595 0.001775 0.001956 0.002150 0.002354 0.002560 0.002784
2025-02-16 0.001318 0.001576 0.001844 0.002141 0.002459 0.002788 0.003152
2025-02-23 0.001042 0.001350 0.001680 0.002056 0.002468 0.002903 0.003392
2025-03-02 0.000821 0.001162 0.001541 0.001984 0.002480 0.003012 0.003621
2025-03-09 0.000645 0.001007 0.001424 0.001925 0.002499 0.003123 0.003846
2025-03-16 0.000514 0.000890 0.001341 0.001897 0.002545 0.003259 0.004095
2025-03-23 0.000450 0.000850 0.001343 0.001964 0.002695 0.003511 0.004472
2025-03-30 0.000371 0.000779 0.001303 0.001975 0.002779 0.003685 0.004759
2025-04-06 0.000317 0.000737 0.001293 0.002020 0.002900 0.003899 0.005090
2025-04-13 0.000287 0.000724 0.001318 0.002106 0.003067 0.004165 0.005480
2025-04-20 0.000207 0.000626 0.001226 0.002041 0.003052 0.004217 0.005624
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000537 0.001138 0.001976 0.003031 0.004261 0.005755
2025-05-04 0.000109 0.000508 0.001147 0.002057 0.003218 0.004580 0.006244
2025-05-11 0.000064 0.000440 0.001096 0.002060 0.003309 0.004789 0.006610
2025-05-18 0.000021 0.000344 0.000991 0.001984 0.003300 0.004879 0.006840
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000264 0.000898 0.001918 0.003300 0.004979 0.007079
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000199 0.000818 0.001864 0.003311 0.005090 0.007332
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000153 0.000761 0.001839 0.003357 0.005241 0.007631
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000139 0.000767 0.001906 0.003525 0.005542 0.008109
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000112 0.000739 0.001919 0.003618 0.005750 0.008475
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000097 0.000733 0.001964 0.003754 0.006012 0.008905
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000092 0.000752 0.002049 0.003944 0.006341 0.009415
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000057 0.000681 0.001985 0.003929 0.006410 0.009611